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OPEC Lowers Global Oil Demand Growth To 1.64mbpd

OPEC in its latest monthly report, lowered its global oil-demand growth estimate by 20,000 bpd, to 1.64 million bpd this year. This it said is due to weaker-than-expected oil demand data from Latin America and the Middle East in the second quarter.

 

The organisation also said that trade friction between the US and China was unlikely to have much impact on global oil demand growth, unless the rifts spread beyond those two nations.

OPEC expects the demand for its crude to be 32.9 million bpd this year, about 600,000 bpd lower than in 2017.

According to the report, crude production from the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries rose in July on the back of increased output recorded by Nigeria, Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates.

The report released Monday showed that OPEC’s output averaged 32.32 million barrels per day in July, up 41,000bpd from June.

Increased production in Nigeria, Kuwait and the UAE more than offset the drop recorded in Libya, Iran and Saudi Arabia, the group said in its monthly oil market report, citing secondary source figures.

OPEC agreed in June to increase output by one million bpd in a bid to prevent sharp rallies in crude prices that could potentially curb consumer demand.

The decision came after the United States President, Donald Trump, urged the group to act in order to prevent further increases, even amid looming American sanctions on Iran, OPEC’s third-largest producer.

The potential for a supply shortage appeared to have subsided for now, the International Energy Agency said on Friday.

In direct communications with OPEC, Saudi Arabia reported that its monthly crude production slipped by 201,000 bpd in July, meaning that it pumped 10.288 million bpd last month — lower than the 10.387 million bpd figure secondary sources compiled by OPEC show.

While OPEC output rose in July, the group also lifted forecasts for supply from its rivals for the rest of the year. Non-OPEC production is now expected to be 59.62 million bpd in 2018, a 2.08 million bpd increase from last year. Those figures were mainly due to adjustments to production in China during the first half of the year.

 

 

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